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Such infighting could raise the specter of a power struggle amid a vacuum within the Sultanate.Marc Valeri wrote: “If the royal family cannot make a decision, up to what point is it ready to be deprived of supreme decision making by individuals who do not belong to the Al Said family and who owe their position to Qaboos only?

It is troubling to Muscat officials that AQAP controls Yemen’s Hadramawt region, including the main seaport of the region’s capital city, Mukalla, situated only 370 miles from Oman’s Salalah port.[i] Nevertheless, the Sultanate is in a relatively safe position given robust border controls. In recent years, Oman and Iran have deepened cooperation in numerous diplomatic, economic, energy, and security spheres.

Oman also lacks the common attributes of extremist growth, where the national fabric’s pillars of tolerance, dialogue, and nonviolence have defined relations between the country’s diverse religious and tribal communities throughout Sultan Qaboos’ reign. Although the strengthening of Muscat-Tehran relations has not cost Oman its ‘good member standing’ in the G. C., other council members have accused Qaboos’ independent foreign policy of often undermining the council’s collective security. members may prefer that the next sultan realigns Muscat more closely with the Gulf Arab states.

Such a geospatial trend highlights Oman’s historic role linking traders from Asia to Europe along the ancient Maritime Silk Road. As Oman’s political system concentrates much power in Sultan Qaboos’ hands, the other members of the royal Al Said family mainly hold symbolic positions.

Some observers speculate that one of Qaboos’ cousins will be his successor, although the topic remains largely a mystery to the public and one that Omanis do not discuss outright.[viii] Analysts warn that there is valid reason to worry that the next sultan will lack enough legitimacy in the eyes of the Omani public to rule the Sultanate.

Nevertheless, regional observers note that a succession crisis may result from a potential power vacuum in Muscat, prompting tribes of the interior to push for a restoration of the Ibadi Imamate.